Strategic preparedness dashboard
A preparedness tool, not a fear generator. Probabilities are peer-reviewed statistical models (Nishimura 2017, Jenkins 2024) over multi-year windows — not imminent predictions. Always defer to official PHIVOLCS bulletins.
Volcanoes monitored
0
Elevated attention
0
High+ risk
Earthquakes analysed
0
M2+, 30 days
Critical / very high
0
Elevated watch
0
Data refresh
~15m
Levels reflect the modeled probability of an eruption within the next year. They are statistical estimates over multi-year windows, not imminent forecasts — PHIVOLCS alert levels remain authoritative.
Critical · ≥50%/yr
Follow PHIVOLCS evacuation orders immediately
Very High · 35–50%/yr
Review & update emergency plans now
High · 20–35%/yr
Know your evacuation routes
Elevated · 10–20%/yr
Monitor official PHIVOLCS bulletins
Moderate · 5–10%/yr
Keep an emergency kit ready
Low · 2–5%/yr
Maintain general awareness
Background · <2%/yr
Standard volcanic-area preparedness
These volcanoes have elevated statistical indicators. Review your emergency plans.
Albay, Bicol
Probability
98%
Multiplier
1.95x
Confidence
LOW
Verify emergency plans. Know evacuation routes. Follow PHIVOLCS closely.
Multiple indicators suggest significantly elevated activity. This warrants immediate attention to preparedness.
Negros Oriental, Western Visayas
Probability
82.9%
Multiplier
1.95x
Confidence
LOW
Verify emergency plans. Know evacuation routes. Follow PHIVOLCS closely.
Multiple indicators suggest significantly elevated activity. This warrants immediate attention to preparedness.
Sorsogon, Bicol
Probability
38.8%
Multiplier
1.95x
Confidence
LOW
Review and update emergency preparedness. Monitor official bulletins.
Statistical models indicate significantly elevated probability. Prudent preparedness recommended.
Batangas, CALABARZON
Probability
24.5%
Multiplier
2x
Confidence
LOW
Good time to review emergency plans and supplies.
Multiple factors suggest above-average activity level.
Normal background conditions. Maintain standard volcanic area preparedness.
Biliran
3.8% • active
Camiguin
3.8% • active
Tawi-Tawi
3.3% • active
Cagayan
3% • active
Zambales
2.1% • active
Southern Leyte
1.9% • active
South Cotabato
1.9% • active
South Cotabato
1.9% • active
Lanao del Sur
1.9% • active
Lanao del Sur
1.9% • active
Batanes
1.5% • active
Cagayan
1.5% • active
Cagayan
1.5% • active
Cagayan
1.5% • active
Bukidnon
1.5% • active
Cagayan
1.5% • active
Davao del Sur
0.8% • potentially active
Davao del Sur
0.5% • potentially active
Sulu
0.4% • potentially active
Data sources: USGS Earthquake Catalog, Global Volcanism Program, PHIVOLCS
Strategic awareness enables rational preparation. Set up earthquake alerts for your area.